Eine Plattform für die Wissenschaft: Bauingenieurwesen, Architektur und Urbanistik
Eine Plattform für die Wissenschaft: Bauingenieurwesen, Architektur und Urbanistik
Generative neural network models for synthetic solar irradiance sequences
With the significant increase in the amount of solar energy sources, the variation in the production caused by the stochastic nature of these sources becomes a larger problem for the electrical grid. Having a large percentage of installed units, therefore, requires some type of both short- and long-term planning of energy production. Most planning and forecasting tools require a large amount of solar energy data for the location in question and oftentimes that data is difficult to obtain. In this paper, we propose a method for generating synthetic solar irradiance data and test its applicability on forecasting and long-term planning problems. Synthetic data are generated using various generative adversarial networks and masked autoencoder based models, which are all trained on a dataset of solar irradiance data measured on the territory of the city of Banja Luka in Bosnia and Herzegovina. The synthetic data are evaluated both on different types of short-term forecasting tools and a long-term solar plant simulation tool, and the obtained results are compared with the cases where real data is used. By comparing the results, we have concluded that by using generative models we are able to generate synthetic data which is not only realistic, but applicable for both of these uses.
Generative neural network models for synthetic solar irradiance sequences
With the significant increase in the amount of solar energy sources, the variation in the production caused by the stochastic nature of these sources becomes a larger problem for the electrical grid. Having a large percentage of installed units, therefore, requires some type of both short- and long-term planning of energy production. Most planning and forecasting tools require a large amount of solar energy data for the location in question and oftentimes that data is difficult to obtain. In this paper, we propose a method for generating synthetic solar irradiance data and test its applicability on forecasting and long-term planning problems. Synthetic data are generated using various generative adversarial networks and masked autoencoder based models, which are all trained on a dataset of solar irradiance data measured on the territory of the city of Banja Luka in Bosnia and Herzegovina. The synthetic data are evaluated both on different types of short-term forecasting tools and a long-term solar plant simulation tool, and the obtained results are compared with the cases where real data is used. By comparing the results, we have concluded that by using generative models we are able to generate synthetic data which is not only realistic, but applicable for both of these uses.
Generative neural network models for synthetic solar irradiance sequences
Lajić, Romanela (Autor:in) / Divnić, Darko (Autor:in) / Risojević, Vladimir (Autor:in) / Mirjanić, Dragoljub (Autor:in)
01.09.2024
10 pages
Aufsatz (Zeitschrift)
Elektronische Ressource
Englisch
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