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Climate and Related Uncertainties Influencing Research and Development Priorities
Sources of risk and uncertainty are key drivers of research and development (R&D) priorities for infrastructure assets, projects, and policies. This paper describes risk factoring, which is a quantification of what combination of climate and other uncertain factors can most disrupt the R&D priorities of large industry and government facilities. The factors addressed herein include sea-level change, storm intensity and frequencies, precipitation, erosion, coastal demographics, and others. This process engages planners in four aspects: (1) a baseline multicriteria decision analysis of infrastructure resilience; (2) identification of scenarios of factors including sea-level rise, storm frequency, erosion, land-use regulation, ecology, hydrology, etc.; (3) ordering of agency initiatives and finding which scenarios most disrupt that order; and (4) stakeholder elicitation in adaptive iterations. The results of the process constitute an R&D roadmap for addressing factors that impact the resilience of the infrastructure. The roadmap describes which factors—considered singly or in combination—demonstrate relatively greater need for further investigation and modeling.
Climate and Related Uncertainties Influencing Research and Development Priorities
Sources of risk and uncertainty are key drivers of research and development (R&D) priorities for infrastructure assets, projects, and policies. This paper describes risk factoring, which is a quantification of what combination of climate and other uncertain factors can most disrupt the R&D priorities of large industry and government facilities. The factors addressed herein include sea-level change, storm intensity and frequencies, precipitation, erosion, coastal demographics, and others. This process engages planners in four aspects: (1) a baseline multicriteria decision analysis of infrastructure resilience; (2) identification of scenarios of factors including sea-level rise, storm frequency, erosion, land-use regulation, ecology, hydrology, etc.; (3) ordering of agency initiatives and finding which scenarios most disrupt that order; and (4) stakeholder elicitation in adaptive iterations. The results of the process constitute an R&D roadmap for addressing factors that impact the resilience of the infrastructure. The roadmap describes which factors—considered singly or in combination—demonstrate relatively greater need for further investigation and modeling.
Climate and Related Uncertainties Influencing Research and Development Priorities
Hamilton, Michelle C. (Autor:in) / Lambert, James H. (Autor:in) / Valverde, L. James (Autor:in)
23.03.2015
Aufsatz (Zeitschrift)
Elektronische Ressource
Unbekannt
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