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Modeling Uncertainty in Cutter Wear Prediction for Tunnel Boring Machines
Wear of cutting tools and the excavation performance of tunnel boring machines (TBM) is influenced by a number of geotechnical parameters. The prediction model of the Colorado School of Mines uses Uniaxial Compressive Strength, Brazilian Tensile Strength, and Cerchar Abrasivity Index. Due to the complex nature of rock each of these parameters shows variance and there are correlations between these parameters. The usual approach to performance and wear prediction is to use average input parameters to estimate the "average" result. It is shown that this is not always correct because of the statistical nature of the input parameters. The approach described in this paper establishes a statistical model for the performance and wear prediction based on the previously developed model. Since an analytical solution for variance prediction is not possible for this model a Monte- Carlo simulation is used.
Modeling Uncertainty in Cutter Wear Prediction for Tunnel Boring Machines
Wear of cutting tools and the excavation performance of tunnel boring machines (TBM) is influenced by a number of geotechnical parameters. The prediction model of the Colorado School of Mines uses Uniaxial Compressive Strength, Brazilian Tensile Strength, and Cerchar Abrasivity Index. Due to the complex nature of rock each of these parameters shows variance and there are correlations between these parameters. The usual approach to performance and wear prediction is to use average input parameters to estimate the "average" result. It is shown that this is not always correct because of the statistical nature of the input parameters. The approach described in this paper establishes a statistical model for the performance and wear prediction based on the previously developed model. Since an analytical solution for variance prediction is not possible for this model a Monte- Carlo simulation is used.
Modeling Uncertainty in Cutter Wear Prediction for Tunnel Boring Machines
Frenzel, C. (Autor:in)
GeoCongress 2012 ; 2012 ; Oakland, California, United States
GeoCongress 2012 ; 3239-3247
29.03.2012
Aufsatz (Konferenz)
Elektronische Ressource
Englisch
Modeling Uncertainty in Cutter Wear Prediction for Tunnel Boring Machines
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