Eine Plattform für die Wissenschaft: Bauingenieurwesen, Architektur und Urbanistik
Eine Plattform für die Wissenschaft: Bauingenieurwesen, Architektur und Urbanistik
Dipole pattern in aerosol-induced atmospheric warming trends over the Indian subcontinent in the last two decades
Understanding the patterns of aerosol-induced perturbation in radiation budget and its drivers is crucial in climate science. Here, we examined spatio-temporal trends in aerosol-induced atmospheric warming and the top-of-the-atmosphere (TOA) and surface cooling over the Indian Subcontinent under clear-sky and all-sky conditions using clouds and the earth’s radiant energy system data for the period 2000–2021. Overall, the regional mean TOA and surface cooling were found to increase by 0.06 W m ^−2 yr ^−1 and 0.09 W m ^−2 yr ^−1 , respectively. Over the last two decades, the aerosol-induced atmospheric warming in all-sky conditions increased over the subcontinent landmass and outflow regions over the ocean while it declined over dust-dominated arid regions. This dipole pattern was driven by a combination of an overall increase in aerosol optical depth, a gradual increase in the fraction of scattering aerosols over the Indian landmass dominated by anthropogenic sources, a decline in dust loading over the arid sources. As a result, atmospheric warming efficiency declined in most parts of the Indian subcontinent. A comparative meta-analysis revealed that aerosol-induced atmospheric warming was over-estimated by the existing studies where aerosol direct radiative forcings were estimated by 1-D radiative transfer model utilizing modeled optical properties based on incomplete information about in-situ physico-chemical properties derived from ground-based measurements. Our analysis showed that TOA and surface cooling by aerosols were higher in clear-sky conditions relative to the actual all-sky condition by up to 11 W m ^−2 and 16 W m ^−2 , respectively; therefore, atmospheric warming reported for clear-sky conditions would be biased high over the subcontinent. As India embarked on a clean air mission, changes in aerosol loading and its composition are expected to alter the dipole pattern further in the future, impacting the regional climate via dynamic feedback.
Dipole pattern in aerosol-induced atmospheric warming trends over the Indian subcontinent in the last two decades
Understanding the patterns of aerosol-induced perturbation in radiation budget and its drivers is crucial in climate science. Here, we examined spatio-temporal trends in aerosol-induced atmospheric warming and the top-of-the-atmosphere (TOA) and surface cooling over the Indian Subcontinent under clear-sky and all-sky conditions using clouds and the earth’s radiant energy system data for the period 2000–2021. Overall, the regional mean TOA and surface cooling were found to increase by 0.06 W m ^−2 yr ^−1 and 0.09 W m ^−2 yr ^−1 , respectively. Over the last two decades, the aerosol-induced atmospheric warming in all-sky conditions increased over the subcontinent landmass and outflow regions over the ocean while it declined over dust-dominated arid regions. This dipole pattern was driven by a combination of an overall increase in aerosol optical depth, a gradual increase in the fraction of scattering aerosols over the Indian landmass dominated by anthropogenic sources, a decline in dust loading over the arid sources. As a result, atmospheric warming efficiency declined in most parts of the Indian subcontinent. A comparative meta-analysis revealed that aerosol-induced atmospheric warming was over-estimated by the existing studies where aerosol direct radiative forcings were estimated by 1-D radiative transfer model utilizing modeled optical properties based on incomplete information about in-situ physico-chemical properties derived from ground-based measurements. Our analysis showed that TOA and surface cooling by aerosols were higher in clear-sky conditions relative to the actual all-sky condition by up to 11 W m ^−2 and 16 W m ^−2 , respectively; therefore, atmospheric warming reported for clear-sky conditions would be biased high over the subcontinent. As India embarked on a clean air mission, changes in aerosol loading and its composition are expected to alter the dipole pattern further in the future, impacting the regional climate via dynamic feedback.
Dipole pattern in aerosol-induced atmospheric warming trends over the Indian subcontinent in the last two decades
Shreya Srivastava (Autor:in) / Sagnik Dey (Autor:in)
2025
Aufsatz (Zeitschrift)
Elektronische Ressource
Unbekannt
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