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Machine Learning Framework for Real-Time Assessment of Traffic Safety Utilizing Connected Vehicle Data
Assessment of roadway safety in real-time is a necessary component for providing proactive safety countermeasures to ensure the continued safety and efficiency of roadways. A framework for utilizing data from connected vehicles and other probe sources is proposed in this study. Connected vehicles present an opportunity to provide live fingerprinting and activity monitoring on roadways. Taking advantage of high-resolution trajectory data streaming directly from connected vehicles, variables are extracted and the relationship with crashes are explored utilizing statistical and machine learning models. Hard acceleration events, in conjunction with segment miles are shown to have strong positive correlations with historical crash outcomes as proven by OLS, Poisson and Gradient Booster regression models. An XGBoost classification model is then trained to predict the real-time instances of crash outcomes at 5 min temporal bins with high levels of accuracy when trained with data including the real-time segment speed, reference speed, segment miles, a segment crash risk factor and other variables related to the difference in speeds between consecutive segments as well as the hour of the day. A weighted ensemble model achieved the best performance with an accuracy of 0.95. The results present evidence that the framework can capitalize on the richness of data available via connected vehicles and is implementable as a component in Advanced Traffic Management Systems for the analysis of safety critical situations in real-time.
Machine Learning Framework for Real-Time Assessment of Traffic Safety Utilizing Connected Vehicle Data
Assessment of roadway safety in real-time is a necessary component for providing proactive safety countermeasures to ensure the continued safety and efficiency of roadways. A framework for utilizing data from connected vehicles and other probe sources is proposed in this study. Connected vehicles present an opportunity to provide live fingerprinting and activity monitoring on roadways. Taking advantage of high-resolution trajectory data streaming directly from connected vehicles, variables are extracted and the relationship with crashes are explored utilizing statistical and machine learning models. Hard acceleration events, in conjunction with segment miles are shown to have strong positive correlations with historical crash outcomes as proven by OLS, Poisson and Gradient Booster regression models. An XGBoost classification model is then trained to predict the real-time instances of crash outcomes at 5 min temporal bins with high levels of accuracy when trained with data including the real-time segment speed, reference speed, segment miles, a segment crash risk factor and other variables related to the difference in speeds between consecutive segments as well as the hour of the day. A weighted ensemble model achieved the best performance with an accuracy of 0.95. The results present evidence that the framework can capitalize on the richness of data available via connected vehicles and is implementable as a component in Advanced Traffic Management Systems for the analysis of safety critical situations in real-time.
Machine Learning Framework for Real-Time Assessment of Traffic Safety Utilizing Connected Vehicle Data
Abdul Rashid Mussah (Autor:in) / Yaw Adu-Gyamfi (Autor:in)
2022
Aufsatz (Zeitschrift)
Elektronische Ressource
Unbekannt
road safety data collection and analysis , road traffic safety management , intelligent transportation systems services , driver behavior analysis , connected vehicle big data analysis , Environmental effects of industries and plants , TD194-195 , Renewable energy sources , TJ807-830 , Environmental sciences , GE1-350
Metadata by DOAJ is licensed under CC BY-SA 1.0
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