Eine Plattform für die Wissenschaft: Bauingenieurwesen, Architektur und Urbanistik
Eine Plattform für die Wissenschaft: Bauingenieurwesen, Architektur und Urbanistik
Forecasting small-area agricultural incomes using a CGE model of the Australian economy
Abstract In this paper the ORANI model, which is a large computable general equilibrium (hereafter, CGE) model of the Australian economy, is used to generate forecasts of agricultural incomes for the south-western region of Victoria. ORANI is first solved for the effects of an economic scenario on commodity output responses in a geographically defined agricultural industry of the model which encompasses the region. These responses are then used to generate output indexes in local government areas (LGAs) in the region according to their base-period commodity mixes. Finally, these projections are converted into real farm income forecasts. Our methodology breaks new ground in combining short- and long-term forecasts, and in disaggregating forecasts for a national agricultural industry to the LGA level.
Forecasting small-area agricultural incomes using a CGE model of the Australian economy
Abstract In this paper the ORANI model, which is a large computable general equilibrium (hereafter, CGE) model of the Australian economy, is used to generate forecasts of agricultural incomes for the south-western region of Victoria. ORANI is first solved for the effects of an economic scenario on commodity output responses in a geographically defined agricultural industry of the model which encompasses the region. These responses are then used to generate output indexes in local government areas (LGAs) in the region according to their base-period commodity mixes. Finally, these projections are converted into real farm income forecasts. Our methodology breaks new ground in combining short- and long-term forecasts, and in disaggregating forecasts for a national agricultural industry to the LGA level.
Forecasting small-area agricultural incomes using a CGE model of the Australian economy
Higgs, Peter J. (Autor:in) / Powell, Alan A. (Autor:in)
1990
Aufsatz (Zeitschrift)
Englisch
Farm incomes, wealth and agricultural policy
| Elsevier | 1991
The Generation of Individual and Household Incomes at the Small Area Level using Synthesis
| Taylor & Francis Verlag | 1989
Online Contents | 1999
Microeconomic analysis of the liberalization of the rent price on agricultural incomes
| Online Contents | 2001
| British Library Conference Proceedings | 1982