Eine Plattform für die Wissenschaft: Bauingenieurwesen, Architektur und Urbanistik
Eine Plattform für die Wissenschaft: Bauingenieurwesen, Architektur und Urbanistik
Perceived risk of lock-in in the front-end phase of major transportation projects
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1376-941X
Abstract Lock-in is defined as the tendency to continue with an inefficient decision or project proposal. The front-end phase is critical to project success, yet most studies have focused on lock-in in the implementation phase. Moreover, little is known about the way in which decision-makers perceive the risk of lock-in. In this paper we identify determinants of lock-in in the front-end phase and we reveal decision-makers’ perceptions of risk of lock-in. Our findings show that risk attitudes towards lock-in vary with the level of risk aversion. However, this is not sufficiently acute to drive the level of regret needed to avoid lock-in. This implies that decision-makers do not accurately assess the risk of lock-in and as such their risk perceptions are a mediating factor in the formation of lock-in. Based on escalation of commitment, path dependency, and prospect theory, the main contribution lies in providing a more comprehensive understanding of lock-in in the front-end phase.
Perceived risk of lock-in in the front-end phase of major transportation projects
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1376-941X
Abstract Lock-in is defined as the tendency to continue with an inefficient decision or project proposal. The front-end phase is critical to project success, yet most studies have focused on lock-in in the implementation phase. Moreover, little is known about the way in which decision-makers perceive the risk of lock-in. In this paper we identify determinants of lock-in in the front-end phase and we reveal decision-makers’ perceptions of risk of lock-in. Our findings show that risk attitudes towards lock-in vary with the level of risk aversion. However, this is not sufficiently acute to drive the level of regret needed to avoid lock-in. This implies that decision-makers do not accurately assess the risk of lock-in and as such their risk perceptions are a mediating factor in the formation of lock-in. Based on escalation of commitment, path dependency, and prospect theory, the main contribution lies in providing a more comprehensive understanding of lock-in in the front-end phase.
Perceived risk of lock-in in the front-end phase of major transportation projects
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1376-941X
Abstract Lock-in is defined as the tendency to continue with an inefficient decision or project proposal. The front-end phase is critical to project success, yet most studies have focused on lock-in in the implementation phase. Moreover, little is known about the way in which decision-makers perceive the risk of lock-in. In this paper we identify determinants of lock-in in the front-end phase and we reveal decision-makers’ perceptions of risk of lock-in. Our findings show that risk attitudes towards lock-in vary with the level of risk aversion. However, this is not sufficiently acute to drive the level of regret needed to avoid lock-in. This implies that decision-makers do not accurately assess the risk of lock-in and as such their risk perceptions are a mediating factor in the formation of lock-in. Based on escalation of commitment, path dependency, and prospect theory, the main contribution lies in providing a more comprehensive understanding of lock-in in the front-end phase.
Perceived risk of lock-in in the front-end phase of major transportation projects
Cantarelli, Chantal C. (Autor:in) / Oglethorpe, David (Autor:in) / van Wee, Bert (Autor:in)
Transportation ; 49
2021
Aufsatz (Zeitschrift)
Elektronische Ressource
Englisch
BKL:
55.80$jVerkehrswesen$jTransportwesen: Allgemeines
/
55.80
Verkehrswesen, Transportwesen: Allgemeines
/
74.75$jVerkehrsplanung$jVerkehrspolitik
/
74.75
Verkehrsplanung, Verkehrspolitik
Perceived risk of lock-in in the front-end phase of major transportation projects
| Springer Verlag | 2022
Breaking Carbon Lock-In: Path Dependencies in Large-Scale Transportation Infrastructure Projects
| Taylor & Francis Verlag | 2014