Eine Plattform für die Wissenschaft: Bauingenieurwesen, Architektur und Urbanistik
Eine Plattform für die Wissenschaft: Bauingenieurwesen, Architektur und Urbanistik
Evolutionary Explanations of Syrian—Turkish Water Conflict
The issues of water and territory dominate relations between Syria and Turkey, upstream and downstream riparians in the Euphrates and Tigris basin. This chapter propose an evolutionary game to explore eventual trajectories of riparian relations. Turkish hawks are defined as those Turkish foreign policies that support no water concessions. Turkish doves can instead support the flow of an increased amount of water to Syria on the basis of an international agreement. Syrian hawks are those Syrian foreign policies that do not recognize Turkish sovereignty over Hatay—also known as the Sandjak of Alexandretta. Syrian doves can in turn accept that the territory belongs now to Turkey. It is found that evolutionary stability does not depend upon the values territory and water represent for the fitness of Syrian and Turkish foreign policies. No evolutionary stability is possible unless doves are cooperative towards hawks. If doves are cooperative towards hawks, the unique evolutionarily stable outcome implies their extinction. Riparian relations will ultimately evolve into mutual intransigence.
Evolutionary Explanations of Syrian—Turkish Water Conflict
The issues of water and territory dominate relations between Syria and Turkey, upstream and downstream riparians in the Euphrates and Tigris basin. This chapter propose an evolutionary game to explore eventual trajectories of riparian relations. Turkish hawks are defined as those Turkish foreign policies that support no water concessions. Turkish doves can instead support the flow of an increased amount of water to Syria on the basis of an international agreement. Syrian hawks are those Syrian foreign policies that do not recognize Turkish sovereignty over Hatay—also known as the Sandjak of Alexandretta. Syrian doves can in turn accept that the territory belongs now to Turkey. It is found that evolutionary stability does not depend upon the values territory and water represent for the fitness of Syrian and Turkish foreign policies. No evolutionary stability is possible unless doves are cooperative towards hawks. If doves are cooperative towards hawks, the unique evolutionarily stable outcome implies their extinction. Riparian relations will ultimately evolve into mutual intransigence.
Evolutionary Explanations of Syrian—Turkish Water Conflict
Güner, Serdar Ş (Autor:in)
01.01.2008
11 pages
Aufsatz/Kapitel (Buch)
Elektronische Ressource
Englisch
Frontispiece: Palmyra Arch, Syrian conflict
Online Contents | 2016
Urban Citizenship and the Spatial Encounter between Turkish Migrants and Syrian Refugees in Berlin
| DOAJ | 2019
Informal Settlements in the Syrian Conflict: Urban Planning as a Weapon
| Online Contents | 2014
Urban Citizenship and the Spatial Encounter between Turkish Migrants and Syrian Refugees in Berlin
| DOAJ | 2019
Impact of the Syrian conflict on irrigated agriculture in the Orontes Basin
| Online Contents | 2015