Eine Plattform für die Wissenschaft: Bauingenieurwesen, Architektur und Urbanistik
Eine Plattform für die Wissenschaft: Bauingenieurwesen, Architektur und Urbanistik
Spatially explicit residential and working population assumptions for projecting and assessing natural capital and ecosystem services in Japan
Abstract In scenario studies of biodiversity and ecosystem services, the population distribution is one of the key driving forces. In this study, we developed a coupling method for narrative scenarios and spatially explicit residential and working population designs for all of Japan as a common dataset for ecosystem scenario analysis implemented by 5-year project entitled “Predicting and Assessing Natural Capital and Ecosystem Services (PANCES)”. Four narrative scenarios were proposed by the PANCES project using two axes as major uncertainties: the population distribution and the capital preference. The residential population and the working population in primary industries were calculated using a gravity-based allocation algorithm in a manner consistent with the storylines of the PANCES scenarios. Using the population distribution assumption by scenario, the population was overlaid with the natural capital and the supply potential of ecosystem services. The results supported to understand the gaps between natural capital and maintainability, and the potential of ecosystem services and realizability. The spatially explicit population distribution data products are expected to help design the nature conservation strategy and governance option in terms of both social system and ecological system.
Spatially explicit residential and working population assumptions for projecting and assessing natural capital and ecosystem services in Japan
Abstract In scenario studies of biodiversity and ecosystem services, the population distribution is one of the key driving forces. In this study, we developed a coupling method for narrative scenarios and spatially explicit residential and working population designs for all of Japan as a common dataset for ecosystem scenario analysis implemented by 5-year project entitled “Predicting and Assessing Natural Capital and Ecosystem Services (PANCES)”. Four narrative scenarios were proposed by the PANCES project using two axes as major uncertainties: the population distribution and the capital preference. The residential population and the working population in primary industries were calculated using a gravity-based allocation algorithm in a manner consistent with the storylines of the PANCES scenarios. Using the population distribution assumption by scenario, the population was overlaid with the natural capital and the supply potential of ecosystem services. The results supported to understand the gaps between natural capital and maintainability, and the potential of ecosystem services and realizability. The spatially explicit population distribution data products are expected to help design the nature conservation strategy and governance option in terms of both social system and ecological system.
Spatially explicit residential and working population assumptions for projecting and assessing natural capital and ecosystem services in Japan
Matsui, Takanori (Autor:in) / Haga, Chihiro (Autor:in) / Saito, Osamu (Autor:in) / Hashimoto, Shizuka (Autor:in)
Sustainability Science ; 14 ; 23-37
03.07.2018
15 pages
Aufsatz (Zeitschrift)
Elektronische Ressource
Englisch
Spatially Explicit Population Models
| Wiley | 1995
Global change impacts on ecosystem services: a spatially explicit assessment for Europe
| DOAJ | 2016
Valuing natural capital and ecosystem services: a literature review
| Springer Verlag | 2018
Projecting future nitrogen inputs: are we making the right assumptions?
| DOAJ | 2022
| DOAJ | 2020