Eine Plattform für die Wissenschaft: Bauingenieurwesen, Architektur und Urbanistik
Eine Plattform für die Wissenschaft: Bauingenieurwesen, Architektur und Urbanistik
People’s heterogeneous preferences for future development scenarios: a case study of Ishikawa Prefecture, Japan
https://orcid.org/http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7499-7497
This study evaluates people’s environmental preferences for future development scenarios, investigates the heterogeneity of their preferences, and discusses the potential conflicts using four hypothetical future development scenarios, namely the natural capital-based and compact society (NC), the natural capital-based and dispersed society (ND), the produced capital-based and compact society (PC), and the produced capital-based and dispersed society (PD). The choice of future development scenarios is an essential issue because it can alter development pathways and change the quality and quantity of natural capital in the future. However, it is still unclear what preferences people express for multiple future development scenarios. Identifying people’s preferences for future development scenarios can help identify potential conflicts in decision-making and facilitate consensus building. This study conducts a discrete choice experiment employing participants from Ishikawa Prefecture (Japan). The mixed logit and latent class logit models reveal the preference heterogeneity of the inhabitants. Additionally, using the spatial Kriging method predicts the spatial distribution of people’s environmental preferences, and the following are the findings: (1) participants generally prefer the ND scenario, although they exhibit heterogeneous preferences; (2) some groups of participants only have strongly preferred scenarios, while others have undesirable ones; (3) one group hesitates to pay additional taxes, while others are unresponsive; and (4) spatial heterogeneity in environmental preferences is suggested. Based on these results, the potential conflicts that may arise from future land-use policies and the policy implications are proposed.
People’s heterogeneous preferences for future development scenarios: a case study of Ishikawa Prefecture, Japan
https://orcid.org/http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7499-7497
This study evaluates people’s environmental preferences for future development scenarios, investigates the heterogeneity of their preferences, and discusses the potential conflicts using four hypothetical future development scenarios, namely the natural capital-based and compact society (NC), the natural capital-based and dispersed society (ND), the produced capital-based and compact society (PC), and the produced capital-based and dispersed society (PD). The choice of future development scenarios is an essential issue because it can alter development pathways and change the quality and quantity of natural capital in the future. However, it is still unclear what preferences people express for multiple future development scenarios. Identifying people’s preferences for future development scenarios can help identify potential conflicts in decision-making and facilitate consensus building. This study conducts a discrete choice experiment employing participants from Ishikawa Prefecture (Japan). The mixed logit and latent class logit models reveal the preference heterogeneity of the inhabitants. Additionally, using the spatial Kriging method predicts the spatial distribution of people’s environmental preferences, and the following are the findings: (1) participants generally prefer the ND scenario, although they exhibit heterogeneous preferences; (2) some groups of participants only have strongly preferred scenarios, while others have undesirable ones; (3) one group hesitates to pay additional taxes, while others are unresponsive; and (4) spatial heterogeneity in environmental preferences is suggested. Based on these results, the potential conflicts that may arise from future land-use policies and the policy implications are proposed.
People’s heterogeneous preferences for future development scenarios: a case study of Ishikawa Prefecture, Japan
https://orcid.org/http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7499-7497
This study evaluates people’s environmental preferences for future development scenarios, investigates the heterogeneity of their preferences, and discusses the potential conflicts using four hypothetical future development scenarios, namely the natural capital-based and compact society (NC), the natural capital-based and dispersed society (ND), the produced capital-based and compact society (PC), and the produced capital-based and dispersed society (PD). The choice of future development scenarios is an essential issue because it can alter development pathways and change the quality and quantity of natural capital in the future. However, it is still unclear what preferences people express for multiple future development scenarios. Identifying people’s preferences for future development scenarios can help identify potential conflicts in decision-making and facilitate consensus building. This study conducts a discrete choice experiment employing participants from Ishikawa Prefecture (Japan). The mixed logit and latent class logit models reveal the preference heterogeneity of the inhabitants. Additionally, using the spatial Kriging method predicts the spatial distribution of people’s environmental preferences, and the following are the findings: (1) participants generally prefer the ND scenario, although they exhibit heterogeneous preferences; (2) some groups of participants only have strongly preferred scenarios, while others have undesirable ones; (3) one group hesitates to pay additional taxes, while others are unresponsive; and (4) spatial heterogeneity in environmental preferences is suggested. Based on these results, the potential conflicts that may arise from future land-use policies and the policy implications are proposed.
People’s heterogeneous preferences for future development scenarios: a case study of Ishikawa Prefecture, Japan
Sustain Sci
Kyoi, Shinsuke (Autor:in) / Kuriyama, Koichi (Autor:in) / Hashimoto, Shizuka (Autor:in)
Sustainability Science ; 18 ; 1907-1924
01.07.2023
18 pages
Aufsatz (Zeitschrift)
Elektronische Ressource
Englisch
Heterogeneous preferences , Discrete choice experiment , Mixed logit model , Latent class logit model , Spatial Kriging method , Future development scenario Environment , Environmental Management , Climate Change Management and Policy , Environmental Economics , Landscape Ecology , Sustainable Development , Public Health , Earth and Environmental Science
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