Eine Plattform für die Wissenschaft: Bauingenieurwesen, Architektur und Urbanistik
Eine Plattform für die Wissenschaft: Bauingenieurwesen, Architektur und Urbanistik
Quantification and management of uncertainty in activity duration networks
This paper develops a theoretical basis for three issues that are important in the quantification and management of uncertainty in activity duration networks. Firstly, the uncertainty in activity durations is quantified. Secondly, the quantification of uncertainty in project duration is developed. Thirdly, how these quantifications can be used for allocation and management of contingency in activity durations is demonstrated. A published numerical example is used to illustrate the application of this development to a construction project. While this idea challenges the popular longest path (PERT) approach, it provides a robust theoretical foundation and introduces a logical framework to the quantification and management of uncertainty in activity duration networks.
Quantification and management of uncertainty in activity duration networks
This paper develops a theoretical basis for three issues that are important in the quantification and management of uncertainty in activity duration networks. Firstly, the uncertainty in activity durations is quantified. Secondly, the quantification of uncertainty in project duration is developed. Thirdly, how these quantifications can be used for allocation and management of contingency in activity durations is demonstrated. A published numerical example is used to illustrate the application of this development to a construction project. While this idea challenges the popular longest path (PERT) approach, it provides a robust theoretical foundation and introduces a logical framework to the quantification and management of uncertainty in activity duration networks.
Quantification and management of uncertainty in activity duration networks
Ranasinghe, Malik (Autor:in)
Construction Management and Economics ; 12 ; 15-29
01.01.1994
15 pages
Aufsatz (Zeitschrift)
Elektronische Ressource
Englisch
Quantification and management of uncertainty in activity duration networks
| British Library Online Contents | 1994
Quantification and management of uncertainty in activity duration networks
| Online Contents | 1994
Robust Reliability of Projects with Activity-Duration Uncertainty
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Robust Reliability of Projects with Activity-Duration Uncertainty
| British Library Online Contents | 1998