Projecting conflict risk in transboundary river basins by 2050 following different ambition scenarios: Fid-Bau Portal

Fachinformationsdienst BAUdigital

Eine Plattform für die Wissenschaft: Bauingenieurwesen, Architektur und Urbanistik

Projecting conflict risk in transboundary river basins by 2050 following different ambition scenarios

de Bruin, Sophie Pieternel / Schmeier, Susanne / van Beek, Rens / Gulpen, Marijn

This study presents three global scenario projections of conflict risk in transboundary river basins by combining scenario projection data on risks identified in the existing literature. Under a business-as-usual scenario, 920 million people are projected to live in very high to high conflict-risk basins by 2050. In the low ambition scenario, this number decreases to 724 million people, while in the high ambition scenario, it decreases to 536 million. Large basins with specifically high conflict risk are the Juba–Shibeli, Lake Turkana, Indus and Irrawaddy. These findings hope to inform water diplomacy, conflict prevention and mitigation support for basins at risk.

Zugriff

Seitennavigation

Dokumentinformationen

Ähnliche Titel

Exportieren, teilen und zitieren

Projecting conflict risk in transboundary river basins by 2050 following different ambition scenarios

de Bruin, Sophie Pieternel / Schmeier, Susanne / van Beek, Rens / Gulpen, Marijn

This study presents three global scenario projections of conflict risk in transboundary river basins by combining scenario projection data on risks identified in the existing literature. Under a business-as-usual scenario, 920 million people are projected to live in very high to high conflict-risk basins by 2050. In the low ambition scenario, this number decreases to 724 million people, while in the high ambition scenario, it decreases to 536 million. Large basins with specifically high conflict risk are the Juba–Shibeli, Lake Turkana, Indus and Irrawaddy. These findings hope to inform water diplomacy, conflict prevention and mitigation support for basins at risk.

Projecting conflict risk in transboundary river basins by 2050 following different ambition scenarios

de Bruin, Sophie Pieternel / Schmeier, Susanne / van Beek, Rens / Gulpen, Marijn

This study presents three global scenario projections of conflict risk in transboundary river basins by combining scenario projection data on risks identified in the existing literature. Under a business-as-usual scenario, 920 million people are projected to live in very high to high conflict-risk basins by 2050. In the low ambition scenario, this number decreases to 724 million people, while in the high ambition scenario, it decreases to 536 million. Large basins with specifically high conflict risk are the Juba–Shibeli, Lake Turkana, Indus and Irrawaddy. These findings hope to inform water diplomacy, conflict prevention and mitigation support for basins at risk.

Zugriff

Seitennavigation

Dokumentinformationen

Ähnliche Titel

Exportieren, teilen und zitieren

Dokumentinformationen

Titel:

Projecting conflict risk in transboundary river basins by 2050 following different ambition scenarios

Beteiligte:

de Bruin, Sophie Pieternel (Autor:in) / Schmeier, Susanne (Autor:in) / van Beek, Rens (Autor:in) / Gulpen, Marijn (Autor:in)

Erschienen in:

International Journal of Water Resources Development ; 40 ; 7-32

Erscheinungsdatum:

02.01.2024

Format / Umfang:

26 pages

ISSN:

0790-0627 , 1360-0648

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1080/07900627.2023.2184650

Medientyp:

Aufsatz (Zeitschrift)

Format:

Elektronische Ressource

Sprache:

Englisch

Schlagwörter:

Transboundary river basins , scenario projections , hydropower dams , institutional resilience , conflict risk , ambition pathways

Ähnliche Titel

Projecting armed conflict risk in Africa towards 2050 along the SSP-RCP scenarios: a machine learning approach

Jannis M Hoch / Sophie P de Bruin / Halvard Buhaug et al. | DOAJ | 2021

Freier Zugriff

Interdisciplinary knowledge frameworks for transboundary river basins

Gerlak, Andrea K | Online Contents | 2015

Interdisciplinary knowledge frameworks for transboundary river basins

Gerlak, Andrea K. / Saguier, Marcelo | Taylor & Francis Verlag | 2015

Large-Scale Hydrological Models and Transboundary River Basins

Charalampos Skoulikaris | DOAJ | 2024

Freier Zugriff

The ensemble scenarios projecting runoff changes in large Russian river basins in the 21st century

Georgiadi, A.G. / Koronkevich, N.I. / Milyukova, I.P. et al. | British Library Conference Proceedings | 2014