Eine Plattform für die Wissenschaft: Bauingenieurwesen, Architektur und Urbanistik
Eine Plattform für die Wissenschaft: Bauingenieurwesen, Architektur und Urbanistik
A dynamic urban growth model for strategic transport planning
This paper presents an exploratory model of the population redistribution process in metropolitan areas with transport pricing as the main driving determinant. A set of 10 differential equations developed from logistic growth theory describe the dispersal of population from an urban area into two encompassing concentric zones. These outward flows give rise to changes in the commuting flows by mode as well as changes in the modal mix of journey to work trips within the urban area. The model is calibrated for Greater London and the South‐East Standard Region of England between 1961 and 1976, and various possible pricing scenarios are tested to examine the population trajectories up to 1991. The results illustrate the feasibility of dynamic process‐descriptive models in urban analysis, but also suggests an integrated programme of research and model‐building as part of this development.
A dynamic urban growth model for strategic transport planning
This paper presents an exploratory model of the population redistribution process in metropolitan areas with transport pricing as the main driving determinant. A set of 10 differential equations developed from logistic growth theory describe the dispersal of population from an urban area into two encompassing concentric zones. These outward flows give rise to changes in the commuting flows by mode as well as changes in the modal mix of journey to work trips within the urban area. The model is calibrated for Greater London and the South‐East Standard Region of England between 1961 and 1976, and various possible pricing scenarios are tested to examine the population trajectories up to 1991. The results illustrate the feasibility of dynamic process‐descriptive models in urban analysis, but also suggests an integrated programme of research and model‐building as part of this development.
A dynamic urban growth model for strategic transport planning
Varaprasad, N. (Autor:in) / Cordey‐Hayes, M. (Autor:in)
Transportation Planning and Technology ; 7 ; 109-120
01.04.1982
12 pages
Aufsatz (Zeitschrift)
Elektronische Ressource
Unbekannt
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