Eine Plattform für die Wissenschaft: Bauingenieurwesen, Architektur und Urbanistik
Eine Plattform für die Wissenschaft: Bauingenieurwesen, Architektur und Urbanistik
Determining Inputs for Neural Network Models of Multivariate Time Series
In recent years, artificial neural networks have been used successfully to model multivariate water resources time series. By using analytical approaches to determine appropriate model inputs, network size and training time can be reduced. In this paper, it is proposed that the method of Haugh and Box and a new neural network–based approach can be used to identify the inputs for multivariate artificial neural network models. Both methods were used to obtain the inputs for a multivariate artificial neural network model used for forecasting salinity in the River Murray at Murray Bridge, South Australia. The methods were compared with a third method that uses knowledge of travel times in the river to identify a reasonable set of inputs. The results obtained indicate that all three methods are suitable for determining the inputs for multivariate time series models. However, the neural network–based method is preferable because it is quicker and simpler to use. Any prior knowledge of the underlying processes should be used in conjunction with the neural network method.
Determining Inputs for Neural Network Models of Multivariate Time Series
In recent years, artificial neural networks have been used successfully to model multivariate water resources time series. By using analytical approaches to determine appropriate model inputs, network size and training time can be reduced. In this paper, it is proposed that the method of Haugh and Box and a new neural network–based approach can be used to identify the inputs for multivariate artificial neural network models. Both methods were used to obtain the inputs for a multivariate artificial neural network model used for forecasting salinity in the River Murray at Murray Bridge, South Australia. The methods were compared with a third method that uses knowledge of travel times in the river to identify a reasonable set of inputs. The results obtained indicate that all three methods are suitable for determining the inputs for multivariate time series models. However, the neural network–based method is preferable because it is quicker and simpler to use. Any prior knowledge of the underlying processes should be used in conjunction with the neural network method.
Determining Inputs for Neural Network Models of Multivariate Time Series
Maier, H. R. (Autor:in) / Dandy, G. C. (Autor:in)
Computer‐Aided Civil and Infrastructure Engineering ; 12 ; 353-368
01.09.1997
16 pages
Aufsatz (Zeitschrift)
Elektronische Ressource
Englisch
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