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Development of a PLSR-BRT Model for Predicting the Performance of Tunnel Boring Machines
https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6625-4087
Scientific prediction of the penetration rate (PR) of tunnel boring machines (TBMs) is of great significance to the selection of tunnel construction methods, the prediction of construction progress, and the evaluation of benefits. In view of the high nonlinearity, fuzziness, and complexity of the TBM excavation process, this paper attempts to present a new algorithm that integrates partial least squares regression (PLSR) with boosted regression trees (BRT) for predicting the PR of TBMs. For this purpose, 150 datasets were obtained from the Lanzhou water conveyance tunnel project in China. Six impact factors were selected as the input layers of the proposed model by single-factor correlation analysis. To develop the PLSR-BRT model, two principal components of the influencing parameters were extracted via the PLSR method, and the BRT algorithm was employed to establish the predictive model. In addition, other models such as PLSR back propagation neural network (BPNN), BRT, PLSR, support vector regression (SVR), and artificial neural network (ANN) were adapted for use in this problem to verify the predictive accuracy of the proposed model. The results demonstrated that the PLSR-BRT model achieved the best predictive performance compared with the other models, with coefficient of determination value (R2) and root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.96 and 1.78, respectively, for the testing set. The PLSR-BRT model can maximally avoid both overfitting and inadequate fitting. In view of engineering applications, the complexity and redundancy of the field dataset can be solved via reducing the dimensionality of input parameters, and the training samples could be expanded by a boosted method so that the discontinuously acquired geological parameters are unable to restrain the model performance. This method serves as an effective approach for TBM PR prediction and has excellent potential for a variety of scientific and engineering applications.
Development of a PLSR-BRT Model for Predicting the Performance of Tunnel Boring Machines
https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6625-4087
Scientific prediction of the penetration rate (PR) of tunnel boring machines (TBMs) is of great significance to the selection of tunnel construction methods, the prediction of construction progress, and the evaluation of benefits. In view of the high nonlinearity, fuzziness, and complexity of the TBM excavation process, this paper attempts to present a new algorithm that integrates partial least squares regression (PLSR) with boosted regression trees (BRT) for predicting the PR of TBMs. For this purpose, 150 datasets were obtained from the Lanzhou water conveyance tunnel project in China. Six impact factors were selected as the input layers of the proposed model by single-factor correlation analysis. To develop the PLSR-BRT model, two principal components of the influencing parameters were extracted via the PLSR method, and the BRT algorithm was employed to establish the predictive model. In addition, other models such as PLSR back propagation neural network (BPNN), BRT, PLSR, support vector regression (SVR), and artificial neural network (ANN) were adapted for use in this problem to verify the predictive accuracy of the proposed model. The results demonstrated that the PLSR-BRT model achieved the best predictive performance compared with the other models, with coefficient of determination value (R2) and root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.96 and 1.78, respectively, for the testing set. The PLSR-BRT model can maximally avoid both overfitting and inadequate fitting. In view of engineering applications, the complexity and redundancy of the field dataset can be solved via reducing the dimensionality of input parameters, and the training samples could be expanded by a boosted method so that the discontinuously acquired geological parameters are unable to restrain the model performance. This method serves as an effective approach for TBM PR prediction and has excellent potential for a variety of scientific and engineering applications.
Development of a PLSR-BRT Model for Predicting the Performance of Tunnel Boring Machines
https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6625-4087
Scientific prediction of the penetration rate (PR) of tunnel boring machines (TBMs) is of great significance to the selection of tunnel construction methods, the prediction of construction progress, and the evaluation of benefits. In view of the high nonlinearity, fuzziness, and complexity of the TBM excavation process, this paper attempts to present a new algorithm that integrates partial least squares regression (PLSR) with boosted regression trees (BRT) for predicting the PR of TBMs. For this purpose, 150 datasets were obtained from the Lanzhou water conveyance tunnel project in China. Six impact factors were selected as the input layers of the proposed model by single-factor correlation analysis. To develop the PLSR-BRT model, two principal components of the influencing parameters were extracted via the PLSR method, and the BRT algorithm was employed to establish the predictive model. In addition, other models such as PLSR back propagation neural network (BPNN), BRT, PLSR, support vector regression (SVR), and artificial neural network (ANN) were adapted for use in this problem to verify the predictive accuracy of the proposed model. The results demonstrated that the PLSR-BRT model achieved the best predictive performance compared with the other models, with coefficient of determination value (R2) and root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.96 and 1.78, respectively, for the testing set. The PLSR-BRT model can maximally avoid both overfitting and inadequate fitting. In view of engineering applications, the complexity and redundancy of the field dataset can be solved via reducing the dimensionality of input parameters, and the training samples could be expanded by a boosted method so that the discontinuously acquired geological parameters are unable to restrain the model performance. This method serves as an effective approach for TBM PR prediction and has excellent potential for a variety of scientific and engineering applications.
Development of a PLSR-BRT Model for Predicting the Performance of Tunnel Boring Machines
Int. J. Geomech.
Yan, Changbin (author) / Li, Gaoliu (author) / Wang, Hejian (author) / Duan, Shuqian (author)
2023-03-01
Article (Journal)
Electronic Resource
English
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