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Quantifying Geotechnical Probability of Failure—A Simpler Approach
Geotechnical engineers test and explore less than one millionth of a site’s soil or rock, and based on that information predict how the remaining 999,999 parts will behave under new loads that the project creates. Prediction errors occur from the variability of the site’s soil/rock and the accuracy of the chosen design method. The author presents a design method to quantify the probability of successfully predicting the desired outcome that the owner can understand and choose. Engineers must design to prevent loss of life with very low probabilities of failure, but may minimize financial probability of failure of undesired performance with a higher probability of failure to match the owner’s desires. Following Dr. Briaud’s writing style for technical papers, the engineer can quantify probability of failure accurately without cumbersome calculations.
Quantifying Geotechnical Probability of Failure—A Simpler Approach
Geotechnical engineers test and explore less than one millionth of a site’s soil or rock, and based on that information predict how the remaining 999,999 parts will behave under new loads that the project creates. Prediction errors occur from the variability of the site’s soil/rock and the accuracy of the chosen design method. The author presents a design method to quantify the probability of successfully predicting the desired outcome that the owner can understand and choose. Engineers must design to prevent loss of life with very low probabilities of failure, but may minimize financial probability of failure of undesired performance with a higher probability of failure to match the owner’s desires. Following Dr. Briaud’s writing style for technical papers, the engineer can quantify probability of failure accurately without cumbersome calculations.
Quantifying Geotechnical Probability of Failure—A Simpler Approach
Failmezger, Roger A. (author)
IFCEE 2018 ; 2018 ; Orlando, Florida
Innovations in Geotechnical Engineering ; 173-183
2018-06-06
Conference paper
Electronic Resource
English
Quantifying Geotechnical Probability of Failure—A Simpler Approach
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