A platform for research: civil engineering, architecture and urbanism
A platform for research: civil engineering, architecture and urbanism
A Study on Port Container Throughput Prediction Based on Optimal Combined Forecasting Model in Shanghai Port
Port throughput is an important indicator for port planning and operations. It is essential to improve the accuracy of throughput prediction. In this study, by using the dataset of Shanghai Port container throughputs in the period of 1995–2010, based on the framework of PMVF, the performance of traditional models such as cubic exponential smoothing, GM (1,1), and multiple regression analysis single models have been evaluated. Comparison with the observed dataset of port container throughput indicates that traditional models show their limitations respectively with unsatisfied predictions. Based on the advantages of traditional single models, the optimal combined forecasting model is proposed in this study by comparing different possible combinations. Comparison with observed data shows that the optimal combined model improves the accuracy of forecasting container throughput in Shanghai port. The further predictions on container throughput of Shanghai port from 2010 to 2011 can be served for the port's planning and operations.
A Study on Port Container Throughput Prediction Based on Optimal Combined Forecasting Model in Shanghai Port
Port throughput is an important indicator for port planning and operations. It is essential to improve the accuracy of throughput prediction. In this study, by using the dataset of Shanghai Port container throughputs in the period of 1995–2010, based on the framework of PMVF, the performance of traditional models such as cubic exponential smoothing, GM (1,1), and multiple regression analysis single models have been evaluated. Comparison with the observed dataset of port container throughput indicates that traditional models show their limitations respectively with unsatisfied predictions. Based on the advantages of traditional single models, the optimal combined forecasting model is proposed in this study by comparing different possible combinations. Comparison with observed data shows that the optimal combined model improves the accuracy of forecasting container throughput in Shanghai port. The further predictions on container throughput of Shanghai port from 2010 to 2011 can be served for the port's planning and operations.
A Study on Port Container Throughput Prediction Based on Optimal Combined Forecasting Model in Shanghai Port
Li, Xiaomin (author) / Xu, Sudong (author)
11th International Conference of Chinese Transportation Professionals (ICCTP) ; 2011 ; Nanjing, China
ICCTP 2011 ; 3894-3905
2011-07-26
Conference paper
Electronic Resource
English
Online Contents | 2005
British Library Online Contents | 2000
Container Port Throughput Enhancement Using Hub and Shuttle Concepts
| British Library Conference Proceedings | 1998
An Optimal Model based on Multifactors for Container Throughput Forecasting
| Online Contents | 2019