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The Effect of Unusual Weather on Motorcycle Safety Trends—An Indiana Example
The presented study aimed to determine how much the recent trend in motorcycle safety was influenced by weather on the example of Indiana. To confirm this hypothesis, a statistical crash counts model was developed to connect the weather with the monthly and annual number of motorcycle crashes and to estimate the hypothetical trend under the assumption of a seasonal weather pattern perfectly repetitive in annual cycles. The study results indicate that the weather does increase the motorcycle crashes under low atmospheric precipitation and warm temperatures, most likely due to the increased presence of motorcycles on the roads. This effect has obscured the Indiana trend in the last several years. It is useful to analyze the trends in crash statistics adjusted for the weather effect, particularly, if the weather continues to fluctuate considerably and randomly.
The Effect of Unusual Weather on Motorcycle Safety Trends—An Indiana Example
The presented study aimed to determine how much the recent trend in motorcycle safety was influenced by weather on the example of Indiana. To confirm this hypothesis, a statistical crash counts model was developed to connect the weather with the monthly and annual number of motorcycle crashes and to estimate the hypothetical trend under the assumption of a seasonal weather pattern perfectly repetitive in annual cycles. The study results indicate that the weather does increase the motorcycle crashes under low atmospheric precipitation and warm temperatures, most likely due to the increased presence of motorcycles on the roads. This effect has obscured the Indiana trend in the last several years. It is useful to analyze the trends in crash statistics adjusted for the weather effect, particularly, if the weather continues to fluctuate considerably and randomly.
The Effect of Unusual Weather on Motorcycle Safety Trends—An Indiana Example
Tarko, A. P. (author) / Thomaz, J. (author)
2015 International Symposium on Frontiers of Road and Airport Engineering ; 2015 ; Shanghai, China
2015-10-22
Conference paper
Electronic Resource
English
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