A platform for research: civil engineering, architecture and urbanism
A platform for research: civil engineering, architecture and urbanism
Konsistente Zukunftsbilder im Rahmen von Energieszenarien. Jülich, Forschungszentrum Jülich.
The generation of scenarios of future energy systems and its assessment within the scope of a sustainability approach are among the central tasks of energy systems analy‐sis. The IEK‐STE approach comprises 4 central steps: (1) generation of consistent energy futures, (2) modeling of energy systems, (3) development of an indicator set, suitable to characterize sustainability of energy systems, and (4) sustainability assessment. The report focuses on the first step (generation of consistent energy futures). Based on the cross‐impact balance approach 3 different energy futures are developed which com‐ply to a great extent to the challenge of consistency: (I) Increasing competition – ship‐wreck of climate protection policy, (II) Prosperity for everyone ‐ Europe’s pioneering task for climate protection policy is underachieved, and (III) Resource scarcity – Europe’s cli‐mate protection path succeeds in reductions of GHGs and energy demand. These energy futures provide the basis for the selection of assumptions and quantification of frame‐work data for quantitative energy scenarios in step 2.
Konsistente Zukunftsbilder im Rahmen von Energieszenarien. Jülich, Forschungszentrum Jülich.
The generation of scenarios of future energy systems and its assessment within the scope of a sustainability approach are among the central tasks of energy systems analy‐sis. The IEK‐STE approach comprises 4 central steps: (1) generation of consistent energy futures, (2) modeling of energy systems, (3) development of an indicator set, suitable to characterize sustainability of energy systems, and (4) sustainability assessment. The report focuses on the first step (generation of consistent energy futures). Based on the cross‐impact balance approach 3 different energy futures are developed which com‐ply to a great extent to the challenge of consistency: (I) Increasing competition – ship‐wreck of climate protection policy, (II) Prosperity for everyone ‐ Europe’s pioneering task for climate protection policy is underachieved, and (III) Resource scarcity – Europe’s cli‐mate protection path succeeds in reductions of GHGs and energy demand. These energy futures provide the basis for the selection of assumptions and quantification of frame‐work data for quantitative energy scenarios in step 2.
Konsistente Zukunftsbilder im Rahmen von Energieszenarien. Jülich, Forschungszentrum Jülich.
Voegele, Stefan (author) / Hansen, Patrick (author) / Kuckshinrichs, Wilhelm (author) / Schürmann, Karin (author) / Schenk, Olga (author) / Pesch, Thiemo (author) / Heinrichs, Heidi (author) / Markewitz, Peter (author)
2013-01-01
30 pp. (2013).
Paper
Electronic Resource
German
DDC:
690
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