A platform for research: civil engineering, architecture and urbanism
A platform for research: civil engineering, architecture and urbanism
Plausible 2005–2050 emissions scenarios project between 2 °C and 3 °C of warming by 2100
Emissions scenarios used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) are central to climate change research and policy. Here, we identify subsets of scenarios of the IPCC’s 5th (AR5) and forthcoming 6th (AR6) Assessment Reports, including the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway scenarios, that project 2005–2050 fossil-fuel-and-industry (FFI) CO _2 emissions growth rates most consistent with observations from 2005 to 2020 and International Energy Agency (IEA) projections to 2050. These scenarios project between 2 °C and 3 °C of warming by 2100, with a median of 2.2 °C. The subset of plausible IPCC scenarios does not represent all possible trajectories of future emissions and warming. Collectively, they project continued mitigation progress and suggest the world is presently on a lower emissions trajectory than is often assumed. However, these scenarios also indicate that the world is still off track from limiting 21st-century warming to 1.5 °C or below 2 °C.
Plausible 2005–2050 emissions scenarios project between 2 °C and 3 °C of warming by 2100
Emissions scenarios used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) are central to climate change research and policy. Here, we identify subsets of scenarios of the IPCC’s 5th (AR5) and forthcoming 6th (AR6) Assessment Reports, including the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway scenarios, that project 2005–2050 fossil-fuel-and-industry (FFI) CO _2 emissions growth rates most consistent with observations from 2005 to 2020 and International Energy Agency (IEA) projections to 2050. These scenarios project between 2 °C and 3 °C of warming by 2100, with a median of 2.2 °C. The subset of plausible IPCC scenarios does not represent all possible trajectories of future emissions and warming. Collectively, they project continued mitigation progress and suggest the world is presently on a lower emissions trajectory than is often assumed. However, these scenarios also indicate that the world is still off track from limiting 21st-century warming to 1.5 °C or below 2 °C.
Plausible 2005–2050 emissions scenarios project between 2 °C and 3 °C of warming by 2100
Roger Pielke Jr (author) / Matthew G Burgess (author) / Justin Ritchie (author)
2022
Article (Journal)
Electronic Resource
Unknown
Metadata by DOAJ is licensed under CC BY-SA 1.0
The link between a global 2 °C warming threshold and emissions in years 2020, 2050 and beyond
| IOP Institute of Physics | 2012
Sustainable negative emissions in Europe: evaluating scenarios to meet carbon neutrality by 2050
| DOAJ | 2024
Creating transparent, plausible, relevant, and consistent energy scenarios
| BASE | 2017