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Forecasting peak ozone levels

Simpson, R.W. / Layton, A.P.

Abstract Box-Jenkins (1970) time series models are used to predict peak afternoon O3 levels. Data sets from three monitoring stations in Brisbane, Queensland, Australia, are used in the analysis, one of the stations being inner-city and the others being outer-city. It is found that univariate models using only the peak O3 data-set at a site to predict future peak O3 levels are unsatisfactory. However bivariate models using peak O3 data from one site to predict peak O3 levels at another site yield good results. However it is clear that these results only arise because the O3 is formed in a well mixed layer over the region leading to a high degree of correlation between O3 peaks throughout the region.

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Forecasting peak ozone levels

Simpson, R.W. / Layton, A.P.

Abstract Box-Jenkins (1970) time series models are used to predict peak afternoon O3 levels. Data sets from three monitoring stations in Brisbane, Queensland, Australia, are used in the analysis, one of the stations being inner-city and the others being outer-city. It is found that univariate models using only the peak O3 data-set at a site to predict future peak O3 levels are unsatisfactory. However bivariate models using peak O3 data from one site to predict peak O3 levels at another site yield good results. However it is clear that these results only arise because the O3 is formed in a well mixed layer over the region leading to a high degree of correlation between O3 peaks throughout the region.

Forecasting peak ozone levels

Simpson, R.W. / Layton, A.P.

Abstract Box-Jenkins (1970) time series models are used to predict peak afternoon O3 levels. Data sets from three monitoring stations in Brisbane, Queensland, Australia, are used in the analysis, one of the stations being inner-city and the others being outer-city. It is found that univariate models using only the peak O3 data-set at a site to predict future peak O3 levels are unsatisfactory. However bivariate models using peak O3 data from one site to predict peak O3 levels at another site yield good results. However it is clear that these results only arise because the O3 is formed in a well mixed layer over the region leading to a high degree of correlation between O3 peaks throughout the region.

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Title:

Forecasting peak ozone levels

Contributors:

Simpson, R.W. (author) / Layton, A.P. (author)

Published in:

Atmospheric Environment ; 17 ; 1649-1654

Publication date:

1982-08-23

Size:

6 pages

ISSN:

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1016/0004-6981(83)90173-7

Type of media:

Article (Journal)

Type of material:

Electronic Resource

Language:

English

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