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Bayesian inference for long-term prediction of significant wave height

Scotto, M.G. / Guedes Soares, C.

AbstractThis paper considers the problem of estimating long-term predictions of significant wave-height. A method which combines Bayesian methodology and extreme value techniques is adopted. Inferences are based on the Metropolis–Hastings algorithm implemented in an appropriate Markov Chain Monte Carlo scheme. The method is applied to obtain return values of extreme values of significant wave height collected on the northern North Sea. The results are compared with those obtained by Guedes Soares and Scotto [Guedes Soares, C. and Scotto, M.G., 2004. Application of the r-order statistics for long-term predictions of significant wave heights. Coastal Engineering, 51, 387–394].

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Bayesian inference for long-term prediction of significant wave height

Scotto, M.G. / Guedes Soares, C.

AbstractThis paper considers the problem of estimating long-term predictions of significant wave-height. A method which combines Bayesian methodology and extreme value techniques is adopted. Inferences are based on the Metropolis–Hastings algorithm implemented in an appropriate Markov Chain Monte Carlo scheme. The method is applied to obtain return values of extreme values of significant wave height collected on the northern North Sea. The results are compared with those obtained by Guedes Soares and Scotto [Guedes Soares, C. and Scotto, M.G., 2004. Application of the r-order statistics for long-term predictions of significant wave heights. Coastal Engineering, 51, 387–394].

Bayesian inference for long-term prediction of significant wave height

Scotto, M.G. / Guedes Soares, C.

AbstractThis paper considers the problem of estimating long-term predictions of significant wave-height. A method which combines Bayesian methodology and extreme value techniques is adopted. Inferences are based on the Metropolis–Hastings algorithm implemented in an appropriate Markov Chain Monte Carlo scheme. The method is applied to obtain return values of extreme values of significant wave height collected on the northern North Sea. The results are compared with those obtained by Guedes Soares and Scotto [Guedes Soares, C. and Scotto, M.G., 2004. Application of the r-order statistics for long-term predictions of significant wave heights. Coastal Engineering, 51, 387–394].

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Title:

Bayesian inference for long-term prediction of significant wave height

Contributors:

Scotto, M.G. (author) / Guedes Soares, C. (author)

Published in:

Coastal Engineering ; 54 ; 393-400

Publication date:

2006-11-10

Size:

8 pages

ISSN:

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.coastaleng.2006.11.003

Type of media:

Article (Journal)

Type of material:

Electronic Resource

Language:

English

Keywords:

Sea-levels , Extreme value models , Bayesian inference , Markov Chain Monte Carlo , Return value

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