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Probabilistic coastline position computations
AbstractThe classical deterministic approach of the simulation of coastline development often gives unreliable results due to the uncertainty in the values of the coastal variables; in the input data of simulation models, and in the models themselves. With the probabilistic approach of the simulation, using probability distributions of the coastal variables and the model factors, it is possible to forecast coastline development with a chosen degree of certainty. In a design context one can calculate the failure probability of the planned coastal defence systems. Probabilistic methods have the additional advantage that the insight in the influence of coastal processes and of changes in variable values on intermediate coastline development will be enhanced. It is stressed that the existence of correlation between coastal variables influences the results considerably.
Probabilistic coastline position computations
AbstractThe classical deterministic approach of the simulation of coastline development often gives unreliable results due to the uncertainty in the values of the coastal variables; in the input data of simulation models, and in the models themselves. With the probabilistic approach of the simulation, using probability distributions of the coastal variables and the model factors, it is possible to forecast coastline development with a chosen degree of certainty. In a design context one can calculate the failure probability of the planned coastal defence systems. Probabilistic methods have the additional advantage that the insight in the influence of coastal processes and of changes in variable values on intermediate coastline development will be enhanced. It is stressed that the existence of correlation between coastal variables influences the results considerably.
Probabilistic coastline position computations
Vrijling, J.K. (author) / Meijer, G.J. (author)
Coastal Engineering ; 17 ; 1-23
1991-09-27
23 pages
Article (Journal)
Electronic Resource
English
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