Modelling planetary boundary layer ozone, using meteorological parameters at Uccle and Payerne: Fid-Bau Portal

Modelling planetary boundary layer ozone, using meteorological parameters at Uccle and Payerne

Delcloo, Andy W. / De Backer, Hugo

AbstractPlanetary boundary layer (PBL) ozone densities, retrieved from ozone soundings at Uccle (Belgium) and Payerne (Switzerland) between 1990 and 2000 are analysed. This PBL ozone is representative on a regional scale, also in highly polluted areas. At Uccle the yearly cycle of PBL ozone shows late spring and summer maxima, while in Payerne one broad summer maximum with peak in July is present. An overall and a composite multiple linear regression model has been built using meteorological and ${NO}_{x}$ data as independent variables. For Uccle and Payerne the explained variances for the composite models were 63.43% and 78.97% with an rmse of $15.95 μ g m^{- 3}$ and $16.50 μ g m^{- 3}$ , respectively. Both stations have an overall significant negative trend during the time period 1997–2000. During winter and autumn there is a positive significant trend present for Payerne and Uccle, which is explained by a decrease in ${NO}_{x}$ concentrations. For some particular days dynamical effects are illustrated with 10 day 3D backwards trajectories. This shows that further improvement can only be achieved by including chemical and dynamical effects in the models.