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A platform for research: civil engineering, architecture and urbanism
On-going challenges in physics-based ground motion prediction and insights from the 2010–2011 Canterbury and 2016 Kaikoura, New Zealand earthquakes
Abstract This paper presents on-going challenges in the present paradigm shift of earthquake-induced ground motion prediction from empirical to physics-based simulation methods. The 2010–2011 Canterbury and 2016 Kaikoura, New Zealand earthquakes are used to illustrate the predictive potential of the different methods. On-going efforts in simulation validation and theoretical developments are then presented, as well as the demands associated with the need for explicit consideration of modelling uncertainties. Finally, discussion is also given to the tools and databases needed for the efficient utilisation of simulated ground motions both in specific engineering projects as well as for near-real-time impact assessment.
Highlights ?On-going challenges in physics-based ground motion prediction and insights from the 2010–2011 Canterbury and 2016 Kaikoura, New Zealand earthquakes? by BA Bradley. Illustration of the predictive performance of physics-based simulations of the 2010–2011 Canterbury and 2016 Kaikoura, New Zealand earthquakes as compared with empirical prediction alternatives. Discussion of the on-going challenged in physics-based ground motion simulation methods.
On-going challenges in physics-based ground motion prediction and insights from the 2010–2011 Canterbury and 2016 Kaikoura, New Zealand earthquakes
Abstract This paper presents on-going challenges in the present paradigm shift of earthquake-induced ground motion prediction from empirical to physics-based simulation methods. The 2010–2011 Canterbury and 2016 Kaikoura, New Zealand earthquakes are used to illustrate the predictive potential of the different methods. On-going efforts in simulation validation and theoretical developments are then presented, as well as the demands associated with the need for explicit consideration of modelling uncertainties. Finally, discussion is also given to the tools and databases needed for the efficient utilisation of simulated ground motions both in specific engineering projects as well as for near-real-time impact assessment.
Highlights ?On-going challenges in physics-based ground motion prediction and insights from the 2010–2011 Canterbury and 2016 Kaikoura, New Zealand earthquakes? by BA Bradley. Illustration of the predictive performance of physics-based simulations of the 2010–2011 Canterbury and 2016 Kaikoura, New Zealand earthquakes as compared with empirical prediction alternatives. Discussion of the on-going challenged in physics-based ground motion simulation methods.
On-going challenges in physics-based ground motion prediction and insights from the 2010–2011 Canterbury and 2016 Kaikoura, New Zealand earthquakes
Bradley, Brendon A. (author)
Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering ; 124 ; 354-364
2018-04-25
11 pages
Article (Journal)
Electronic Resource
English
| British Library Online Contents | 2014