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Fire Data Methodology: Volume II. Estimation of Fire Incidents
This report suggests methods which may be used to extrapolate data on fire incidents from a few states to the nation. Caution is needed when attempting such extrapolations and attempts to obtain external validation are in order. To illustrate the methodology, the report uses fire department data from the State of Michigan to develop a predictive model relating fire data to several census variables. The resulting model can be combined with census data to obtain projected fire rates for additional areas or for the U.S. Insurance claim records are used in an attempt to validate the model. Detailed fire department data for the State of Michigan and conceptual problems with fire department reporting systems are summarized. These include non-reporting of some fires and some fire injuries, lack of detail, and data quality. Supplemental sampling is recommended to validate and to supplement the fire department data. Three national sampling plans are suggested as possible approaches to obtaining more timely, and detailed national data.
Fire Data Methodology: Volume II. Estimation of Fire Incidents
This report suggests methods which may be used to extrapolate data on fire incidents from a few states to the nation. Caution is needed when attempting such extrapolations and attempts to obtain external validation are in order. To illustrate the methodology, the report uses fire department data from the State of Michigan to develop a predictive model relating fire data to several census variables. The resulting model can be combined with census data to obtain projected fire rates for additional areas or for the U.S. Insurance claim records are used in an attempt to validate the model. Detailed fire department data for the State of Michigan and conceptual problems with fire department reporting systems are summarized. These include non-reporting of some fires and some fire injuries, lack of detail, and data quality. Supplemental sampling is recommended to validate and to supplement the fire department data. Three national sampling plans are suggested as possible approaches to obtaining more timely, and detailed national data.
Fire Data Methodology: Volume II. Estimation of Fire Incidents
J. D. Flora (author) / L. C. Huang (author) / L. D. Roi (author) / P. Cooley (author)
1977
90 pages
Report
No indication
English
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