A platform for research: civil engineering, architecture and urbanism
A platform for research: civil engineering, architecture and urbanism
The Use of Expert Judgement in Risk Assessment
Abstract Risk assessments must often appeal to expert assessments of failure probabilities. Our concern in this paper is to indicate some of the issues which arise in eliciting and combining expert judgements of the likelihood of particular events or uncertain quantities. We also describe some recent work in the area. In focusing on the mathematical issues, we ignore many others relating, in particular, to the tension between accountability and confidentiality within the management of the risk assessment process.
The Use of Expert Judgement in Risk Assessment
Abstract Risk assessments must often appeal to expert assessments of failure probabilities. Our concern in this paper is to indicate some of the issues which arise in eliciting and combining expert judgements of the likelihood of particular events or uncertain quantities. We also describe some recent work in the area. In focusing on the mathematical issues, we ignore many others relating, in particular, to the tension between accountability and confidentiality within the management of the risk assessment process.
The Use of Expert Judgement in Risk Assessment
French, Simon (author) / Cooke, Roger M. (author) / Wiper, Michael P. (author)
1991-01-01
16 pages
Article/Chapter (Book)
Electronic Resource
English
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