A platform for research: civil engineering, architecture and urbanism
A platform for research: civil engineering, architecture and urbanism
Important Role of Uncertainty in Forensic Geotechnical Engineering
Uncertainty plays a significant role in forensic geotechnical engineering. There is generally uncertainty in the available evidence and there is subsequently uncertainty in any conclusions drawn from it. Probability theory highlights the following principles when drawing conclusions from evidence:
If evidence can be explained by multiple hypotheses, then it is impossible to draw conclusions with certainty;
Additional evidence does not necessarily reduce and can actually increase uncertainty in the conclusions drawn from it; and
Neglecting hypotheses from the set of all possibilities can lead to erroneous conclusions.
Three case histories are presented to demonstrate these principles in practice. These case histories underscore the importance of considering uncertainty carefully and in communicating uncertainty clearly in conducting forensic analyses.Important Role of Uncertainty in Forensic Geotechnical Engineering
Uncertainty plays a significant role in forensic geotechnical engineering. There is generally uncertainty in the available evidence and there is subsequently uncertainty in any conclusions drawn from it. Probability theory highlights the following principles when drawing conclusions from evidence:
If evidence can be explained by multiple hypotheses, then it is impossible to draw conclusions with certainty;
Additional evidence does not necessarily reduce and can actually increase uncertainty in the conclusions drawn from it; and
Neglecting hypotheses from the set of all possibilities can lead to erroneous conclusions.
Three case histories are presented to demonstrate these principles in practice. These case histories underscore the importance of considering uncertainty carefully and in communicating uncertainty clearly in conducting forensic analyses.Important Role of Uncertainty in Forensic Geotechnical Engineering
Developments in Geotechnical Engineering
Rao, V.V.S. (editor) / Sivakumar Babu, G.L. (editor) / Gilbert, R. B. (author)
2015-08-29
11 pages
Article/Chapter (Book)
Electronic Resource
English
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