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Spatial and Temporal Prediction of Carbon Peaking Goals and Zonal Governance Approaches to Achieve Carbon neutrality—A Case Study from Zhejiang Province, China
https://orcid.org/http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5232-1194
https://orcid.org/http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2621-4691
https://orcid.org/http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1598-1724
https://orcid.org/http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3418-0295
https://orcid.org/http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1346-1020
With global warming, the United Nations General Assembly once again emphasized the control of greenhouse gas emissions. In the General Assembly, China proposed the ambitious goal of achieving carbon peaking by 2030 and carbon neutrality by 2060. In order to study the potential and policy direction of Zhejiang Province in achieving the goal of carbon neutrality, based on the STIRPAT model and combined with ridge regression analysis, two models were constructed to predict the carbon emissions of Zhejiang Province by using scenario analysis. The time to carbon peak was determined by numerical calculation. According to the spatial differences of carbon emission driving factors of low-level cities in Zhejiang Province, the timetable and roadmap for achieving the “dual carbon” goal in Zhejiang Province are put forward. This study also explored the establishment of a regional governance mechanism for carbon peaks in Zhejiang Province. According to carbon peaks’ spatial differential distribution characteristics, a differential low-carbon optimization strategy for land space is proposed.
Spatial and Temporal Prediction of Carbon Peaking Goals and Zonal Governance Approaches to Achieve Carbon neutrality—A Case Study from Zhejiang Province, China
https://orcid.org/http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5232-1194
https://orcid.org/http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2621-4691
https://orcid.org/http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1598-1724
https://orcid.org/http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3418-0295
https://orcid.org/http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1346-1020
With global warming, the United Nations General Assembly once again emphasized the control of greenhouse gas emissions. In the General Assembly, China proposed the ambitious goal of achieving carbon peaking by 2030 and carbon neutrality by 2060. In order to study the potential and policy direction of Zhejiang Province in achieving the goal of carbon neutrality, based on the STIRPAT model and combined with ridge regression analysis, two models were constructed to predict the carbon emissions of Zhejiang Province by using scenario analysis. The time to carbon peak was determined by numerical calculation. According to the spatial differences of carbon emission driving factors of low-level cities in Zhejiang Province, the timetable and roadmap for achieving the “dual carbon” goal in Zhejiang Province are put forward. This study also explored the establishment of a regional governance mechanism for carbon peaks in Zhejiang Province. According to carbon peaks’ spatial differential distribution characteristics, a differential low-carbon optimization strategy for land space is proposed.
Spatial and Temporal Prediction of Carbon Peaking Goals and Zonal Governance Approaches to Achieve Carbon neutrality—A Case Study from Zhejiang Province, China
https://orcid.org/http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5232-1194
https://orcid.org/http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2621-4691
https://orcid.org/http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1598-1724
https://orcid.org/http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3418-0295
https://orcid.org/http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1346-1020
With global warming, the United Nations General Assembly once again emphasized the control of greenhouse gas emissions. In the General Assembly, China proposed the ambitious goal of achieving carbon peaking by 2030 and carbon neutrality by 2060. In order to study the potential and policy direction of Zhejiang Province in achieving the goal of carbon neutrality, based on the STIRPAT model and combined with ridge regression analysis, two models were constructed to predict the carbon emissions of Zhejiang Province by using scenario analysis. The time to carbon peak was determined by numerical calculation. According to the spatial differences of carbon emission driving factors of low-level cities in Zhejiang Province, the timetable and roadmap for achieving the “dual carbon” goal in Zhejiang Province are put forward. This study also explored the establishment of a regional governance mechanism for carbon peaks in Zhejiang Province. According to carbon peaks’ spatial differential distribution characteristics, a differential low-carbon optimization strategy for land space is proposed.
Spatial and Temporal Prediction of Carbon Peaking Goals and Zonal Governance Approaches to Achieve Carbon neutrality—A Case Study from Zhejiang Province, China
Lecture Notes in Civil Engineering
Guo, Wei (editor) / Qian, Kai (editor) / Wang, Weiwu (author) / Chen, Huan (author) / Yang, Ronglu (author) / Wang, Biyan (author) / Yang, Yuxin (author)
International Conference on Green Building, Civil Engineering and Smart City ; 2022 ; Guilin, China
2022-09-08
15 pages
Article/Chapter (Book)
Electronic Resource
English
The changing role of hydropower to achieve carbon peak and neutrality goals in China
| HENRY – Federal Waterways Engineering and Research Institute (BAW) | 2023