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Earthquake Risk Assessment: Present Shortcomings and Future Directions

Crowley, Helen

This paper looks at the current practices in regional and portfolio seismic risk assessment, discusses some of their shortcomings and presents proposals for improving the state-of-the-practice in the future. Both scenario-based and probabilistic risk assessment are addressed, and modelling practices in the hazard, fragility/vulnerability and exposure components are presented and critiqued. The subsequent recommendations for improvements to the practice and necessary future research are mainly focused on treatment and propagation of uncertainties.

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Earthquake Risk Assessment: Present Shortcomings and Future Directions

Crowley, Helen

This paper looks at the current practices in regional and portfolio seismic risk assessment, discusses some of their shortcomings and presents proposals for improving the state-of-the-practice in the future. Both scenario-based and probabilistic risk assessment are addressed, and modelling practices in the hazard, fragility/vulnerability and exposure components are presented and critiqued. The subsequent recommendations for improvements to the practice and necessary future research are mainly focused on treatment and propagation of uncertainties.

Earthquake Risk Assessment: Present Shortcomings and Future Directions

Crowley, Helen

This paper looks at the current practices in regional and portfolio seismic risk assessment, discusses some of their shortcomings and presents proposals for improving the state-of-the-practice in the future. Both scenario-based and probabilistic risk assessment are addressed, and modelling practices in the hazard, fragility/vulnerability and exposure components are presented and critiqued. The subsequent recommendations for improvements to the practice and necessary future research are mainly focused on treatment and propagation of uncertainties.

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Title:

Earthquake Risk Assessment: Present Shortcomings and Future Directions

Additional title:

Geotechnical, Geological

Contributors:

Ansal, Atilla (editor) / Crowley, Helen (author)

Published in:

Perspectives on European Earthquake Engineering and Seismology ; Chapter: 16 ; 515-532

Geotechnical, Geological and Earthquake Engineering ; 34

Publication date:

2014-07-12

Size:

18 pages

ISBN:

978-3-319-07118-3 , 978-3-319-07117-6

ISSN:

1872-4671 , 1573-6059

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-07118-3_16

Type of media:

Article/Chapter (Book)

Type of material:

Electronic Resource

Language:

English

Keywords:

Ground Motion , Spectral Acceleration , Vulnerability Function , Exposure Model , Macroseismic Intensity Engineering , Civil Engineering , Natural Hazards , Geotechnical Engineering & Applied Earth Sciences , Earth and Environmental Science

Licence:

http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/2.5/

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