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Drought Subsidence Prediction Model for the Western San Joaquin Valley, California
Land subsidence due to groundwater extraction in the western San Joaquin Valley has been studied and monitoredfor almost six decades. Although its subsidence rates diminished after 1970, the problem is still of great concern during droughtperiods. Knowing how big the social impact and cost of subsidence were in the past decades, the paper proposes an innovative approach to predicting its further occurrence. Extrapolation is based on analysis of historical groundwater subsidence relationship, drought pattern, and acceptance of new explanatory mechanisms for clay inelastic compaction. Average predicted magnitudes of subsidence in the western San Joaquin Valleyfor the next five decades are in the range 4 m to 8 m.
Drought Subsidence Prediction Model for the Western San Joaquin Valley, California
Land subsidence due to groundwater extraction in the western San Joaquin Valley has been studied and monitoredfor almost six decades. Although its subsidence rates diminished after 1970, the problem is still of great concern during droughtperiods. Knowing how big the social impact and cost of subsidence were in the past decades, the paper proposes an innovative approach to predicting its further occurrence. Extrapolation is based on analysis of historical groundwater subsidence relationship, drought pattern, and acceptance of new explanatory mechanisms for clay inelastic compaction. Average predicted magnitudes of subsidence in the western San Joaquin Valleyfor the next five decades are in the range 4 m to 8 m.
Drought Subsidence Prediction Model for the Western San Joaquin Valley, California
Botzan, Tudor M. (author) / Mariño, Miguel A. (author) / Basagaoglu, Hakan (author)
Water International ; 24 ; 221-228
1999-09-01
8 pages
Article (Journal)
Electronic Resource
Unknown
Drought Subsidence Prediction Model for the Western San Joaquin Valley, California
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