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A platform for research: civil engineering, architecture and urbanism
Models for forecasting residential populations—The geometric programming approach
Walsh P. K., Jefferson T. R., Gibberd R. W. and Scott C. H. (1981) Models for forecasting residential populations—the geometric programming approach, Reg. Studies 15, 521–531. The application of geometric programming techniques in regional science has recently emerged as an effective tool for the solution of entropy models with equality and inequality constraints. To date only the analysis of these models has been presented. The purpose of this paper is to develop a modelling procedure with a pair of these models and then apply it to a planning region in New South Wales, Australia. The procedure relies on using a priori information from an initial base year calibration as the starting point on which to develop a predictive model. Here a predictive location model was required for the planning authority to investigate the impact of alternative employment location on the redistribution of the residential population. Although restricted by limited data in an aggregate form the projections following from these models were in substantial agreement with the planners' independent forecasts.
Models for forecasting residential populations—The geometric programming approach
Walsh P. K., Jefferson T. R., Gibberd R. W. and Scott C. H. (1981) Models for forecasting residential populations—the geometric programming approach, Reg. Studies 15, 521–531. The application of geometric programming techniques in regional science has recently emerged as an effective tool for the solution of entropy models with equality and inequality constraints. To date only the analysis of these models has been presented. The purpose of this paper is to develop a modelling procedure with a pair of these models and then apply it to a planning region in New South Wales, Australia. The procedure relies on using a priori information from an initial base year calibration as the starting point on which to develop a predictive model. Here a predictive location model was required for the planning authority to investigate the impact of alternative employment location on the redistribution of the residential population. Although restricted by limited data in an aggregate form the projections following from these models were in substantial agreement with the planners' independent forecasts.
Models for forecasting residential populations—The geometric programming approach
Walsh, P.K. (author) / Jefferson, T.R. (author) / Gibberd, R.W. (author) / Scott, C.H. (author)
Regional Studies ; 15 ; 521-531
1981-12-01
11 pages
Article (Journal)
Electronic Resource
Unknown
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