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Water demand forecasts and planning margins in South-East England
Rees J. A. and Rees R. (1972) Water demand forecasts and planning margins in South-East England, Reg. Studies 6, 37–48. On the basis of its demand forecasts, the Water Resources Board has derived a set of projections of required expenditure on new supply capacity. In view of the scale and irreversibility of the commitments of land and capital, it is important that an attempt be made to examine the demand forecasts. This study suggests that these forecasts are well above the demand levels which would be expected from the best estimate of past trends. It is clear that unless investment programmes are revised, considerable excess capacity will have been installed by 1985. The cost of this excess capacity could amount to over 30 per cent of the total projected expenditure. It is suggested that the overforecasting is a symptom of a planning structure which is inappropriate not only for forecasting but also for investment appraisal and control.
Water demand forecasts and planning margins in South-East England
Rees J. A. and Rees R. (1972) Water demand forecasts and planning margins in South-East England, Reg. Studies 6, 37–48. On the basis of its demand forecasts, the Water Resources Board has derived a set of projections of required expenditure on new supply capacity. In view of the scale and irreversibility of the commitments of land and capital, it is important that an attempt be made to examine the demand forecasts. This study suggests that these forecasts are well above the demand levels which would be expected from the best estimate of past trends. It is clear that unless investment programmes are revised, considerable excess capacity will have been installed by 1985. The cost of this excess capacity could amount to over 30 per cent of the total projected expenditure. It is suggested that the overforecasting is a symptom of a planning structure which is inappropriate not only for forecasting but also for investment appraisal and control.
Water demand forecasts and planning margins in South-East England
Rees, Judith A. (author) / Rees, R. (author)
Regional Studies ; 6 ; 37-48
1972-03-01
12 pages
Article (Journal)
Electronic Resource
Unknown
Water demands , Forecasting , Planning margins , Capital expenditure , Multiple regression , South-East England , Wasserbedarf , Voraussagen , Planungsspielraum , Kapitalaufwand , Vielfachregression , Südostengland , Demandes d'eau , Prévision , Marges de planification , Dépense de capital , Rebroussement multiple , Sud-Est de l'Angleterre , Потребности в воде , Предсказания , Планируемые пределы , Расход капитала , Множественная регрессия , Юто-Восточная Антлия
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