A platform for research: civil engineering, architecture and urbanism
A platform for research: civil engineering, architecture and urbanism
Demographic futures for South East Queensland
In 1981, the population of South East Queensland stood at 1.5 million. Today, the region is home to twice that number, and over the last few years has been increasing in population by an average of 2.7%, or 80,000, per year. Concern about high population growth and its implications for housing affordability, transport, water supply and the environment have recently led some commentators to call for reduced population growth, or even a population cap. This paper examines key characteristics of South East Queensland's population and household trends and presents several scenarios, both plausible and implausible, for their future development. In addition to conventional high and low scenarios, we explore the demographic implications of capping population at current levels. Consequences range from rapid growth (7.4 million by mid-century) to severe ageing. We also show that household growth continues even under conditions of zero population growth. Our results demonstrate that population dynamics involve substantial inertia, with little scope for policy to influence outcomes in the short term. Realistically, planners should be preparing for sustained population growth in South East Queensland with continued population ageing, and large increases in the number of lone person and couple households without children.
Demographic futures for South East Queensland
In 1981, the population of South East Queensland stood at 1.5 million. Today, the region is home to twice that number, and over the last few years has been increasing in population by an average of 2.7%, or 80,000, per year. Concern about high population growth and its implications for housing affordability, transport, water supply and the environment have recently led some commentators to call for reduced population growth, or even a population cap. This paper examines key characteristics of South East Queensland's population and household trends and presents several scenarios, both plausible and implausible, for their future development. In addition to conventional high and low scenarios, we explore the demographic implications of capping population at current levels. Consequences range from rapid growth (7.4 million by mid-century) to severe ageing. We also show that household growth continues even under conditions of zero population growth. Our results demonstrate that population dynamics involve substantial inertia, with little scope for policy to influence outcomes in the short term. Realistically, planners should be preparing for sustained population growth in South East Queensland with continued population ageing, and large increases in the number of lone person and couple households without children.
Demographic futures for South East Queensland
Bell, Martin (author) / Charles-Edwards, Elin (author) / Wilson, Tom (author) / Cooper, Jim (author)
Australian Planner ; 47 ; 126-134
2010-09-01
9 pages
Article (Journal)
Electronic Resource
English
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