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Mis-used techniques in planning: The forecasts of Roskill
Parry Lewis J. (1971) Mis-used techniques in planning: The forecasts of Roskill. British leisure passenger's: The Commission's Method, Reg. Studies 5, 145–155. The Roskill Commission produced forecasts of passengers using airports in the London system. This paper describes and criticises the method of forecasting. Some of the criticisms relate to fairly common mis-use of regression methods in geographical and forecasting studies. A key criticism is that a wrong measure of accessibility has been used. It is also argued that combining a cost-benefit analysis with a gravity model raises difficult problems of interpretation.
Mis-used techniques in planning: The forecasts of Roskill
Parry Lewis J. (1971) Mis-used techniques in planning: The forecasts of Roskill. British leisure passenger's: The Commission's Method, Reg. Studies 5, 145–155. The Roskill Commission produced forecasts of passengers using airports in the London system. This paper describes and criticises the method of forecasting. Some of the criticisms relate to fairly common mis-use of regression methods in geographical and forecasting studies. A key criticism is that a wrong measure of accessibility has been used. It is also argued that combining a cost-benefit analysis with a gravity model raises difficult problems of interpretation.
Mis-used techniques in planning: The forecasts of Roskill
Lewis, J. Parry (author)
Regional Studies ; 5 ; 145-155
1971-09-01
11 pages
Article (Journal)
Electronic Resource
Unknown
Forecasts , Air passengers , Regression analysis , Gravity model , Accessibility , Travel costs , Vorherbestimmungen , Flugpassagiere , Regressionsanalyse , Wichtigkeitsmodell , Zugänglichkeit , Reisekosten , Prédictions , Passagers , Analyse par rebroussement , Modèle de gravité , Accessibilité , Coûts de voyage , Предсказания , Количество пассажиров , Анализ регрессии , Правитационная модель , Доступ , Стоимость пудешествий
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