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Active learning method for risk assessment of distributed infrastructure systems
Event‐based methods are commonly used to assess the risk to distributed infrastructure systems. Stochastic event‐based methods consider all hazard scenarios that could adversely impact the infrastructure and their associated rates of occurrence. However, in many cases, such a comprehensive consideration of the spectrum of possible events requires high computational effort. This study presents an active learning method for selecting a subset of hazard scenarios for infrastructure risk assessment. Active learning enables the efficient training of a Gaussian process predictive model by choosing the data from which it learns. The method is illustrated with a case study of the Napa water distribution system where a risk‐based assessment of the post‐earthquake functional loss and recovery is performed. A subset of earthquake scenarios is sequentially selected using a variance reduction stopping criterion. The full probability distribution and annual exceedance curves of the network performance metrics are shown to be reasonably estimated.
Active learning method for risk assessment of distributed infrastructure systems
Event‐based methods are commonly used to assess the risk to distributed infrastructure systems. Stochastic event‐based methods consider all hazard scenarios that could adversely impact the infrastructure and their associated rates of occurrence. However, in many cases, such a comprehensive consideration of the spectrum of possible events requires high computational effort. This study presents an active learning method for selecting a subset of hazard scenarios for infrastructure risk assessment. Active learning enables the efficient training of a Gaussian process predictive model by choosing the data from which it learns. The method is illustrated with a case study of the Napa water distribution system where a risk‐based assessment of the post‐earthquake functional loss and recovery is performed. A subset of earthquake scenarios is sequentially selected using a variance reduction stopping criterion. The full probability distribution and annual exceedance curves of the network performance metrics are shown to be reasonably estimated.
Active learning method for risk assessment of distributed infrastructure systems
Tomar, Agam (author) / Burton, Henry V. (author)
Computer‐Aided Civil and Infrastructure Engineering ; 36 ; 438-452
2021-04-01
15 pages
Article (Journal)
Electronic Resource
English
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