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WATER DEMAND PREDICTION SYSTEM AND METHOD THEREOF
To provide a waterworks system capable of accurately predicting a water demand even when a change in the water demand is non-uniform.SOLUTION: A computer system in a waterworks system: acquires a water demand of a prescribed water distribution area, and weather information of the water distribution area containing forecast and day-of-week information; sets weather information and day-of-week information of a prescribed period and a water demand of a latest prescribed period as related conditions to the water demand of the prescribed period; and calculates a similarity between related information on a prediction day and the related conditions on each day of a past prescribed period, and predicts a water demand of the prediction day by preferentially using a water demand actual achievement value of a past day having a high similarity condition.SELECTED DRAWING: Figure 1
【課題】水需要量の変化が、一様でないようなケースでも、水需要量を精度よく予測できる上水道システムを提供する。【解決手段】上水道システムにおいて、計算機システムは、所定配水区の水需要量、予報を含む前記配水区の天候情報および曜日情報を取得し、所定期間の水需要量に対する関連条件として、前記所定期間の天候情報、曜日情報および直近所定期間の水需要量を設定し、予測日における前記関連情報と過去所定期間の各日における前記条関連条件との類似度を算出し、類似度の高い条件を持つ過去日の水需要量実績値を優先的に用いて予測日の水需要量の予測を行う。【選択図】図1
WATER DEMAND PREDICTION SYSTEM AND METHOD THEREOF
To provide a waterworks system capable of accurately predicting a water demand even when a change in the water demand is non-uniform.SOLUTION: A computer system in a waterworks system: acquires a water demand of a prescribed water distribution area, and weather information of the water distribution area containing forecast and day-of-week information; sets weather information and day-of-week information of a prescribed period and a water demand of a latest prescribed period as related conditions to the water demand of the prescribed period; and calculates a similarity between related information on a prediction day and the related conditions on each day of a past prescribed period, and predicts a water demand of the prediction day by preferentially using a water demand actual achievement value of a past day having a high similarity condition.SELECTED DRAWING: Figure 1
【課題】水需要量の変化が、一様でないようなケースでも、水需要量を精度よく予測できる上水道システムを提供する。【解決手段】上水道システムにおいて、計算機システムは、所定配水区の水需要量、予報を含む前記配水区の天候情報および曜日情報を取得し、所定期間の水需要量に対する関連条件として、前記所定期間の天候情報、曜日情報および直近所定期間の水需要量を設定し、予測日における前記関連情報と過去所定期間の各日における前記条関連条件との類似度を算出し、類似度の高い条件を持つ過去日の水需要量実績値を優先的に用いて予測日の水需要量の予測を行う。【選択図】図1
WATER DEMAND PREDICTION SYSTEM AND METHOD THEREOF
水需要予測装置、および、その方法
FUJII KENJI (Autor:in) / ISHITOBI TAICHI (Autor:in) / OGUMA MOTOAKI (Autor:in)
17.12.2020
Patent
Elektronische Ressource
Japanisch
IPC:
G06Q
Datenverarbeitungssysteme oder -verfahren, besonders angepasst an verwaltungstechnische, geschäftliche, finanzielle oder betriebswirtschaftliche Zwecke, sowie an geschäftsbezogene Überwachungs- oder Voraussagezwecke
,
DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES
/
E03B
Anlagen oder Verfahren zum Gewinnen, Sammeln oder Verteilen von Wasser
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INSTALLATIONS OR METHODS FOR OBTAINING, COLLECTING, OR DISTRIBUTING WATER
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