A platform for research: civil engineering, architecture and urbanism
A platform for research: civil engineering, architecture and urbanism
The recent study by Anadón et al (2013 Environ. Res. Lett. 8 034020) employs multiple expert elicitation to study the potential impact of public RD&D on nuclear power costs through 2030. This study achieves a rare depth and variation in multiple expert elicitation on the same problem, which allows the authors to carefully identify expert-level drivers of variations in assessments of outcomes and associated uncertainties. An important parameter—change in the future costs of nuclear fission technologies upon doubling of public RD&D—is also calculated. Overall, this study makes a significant contribution to both the decision-making under uncertainty literature focusing on technological change as well as the expert elicitation methodology literature.
The recent study by Anadón et al (2013 Environ. Res. Lett. 8 034020) employs multiple expert elicitation to study the potential impact of public RD&D on nuclear power costs through 2030. This study achieves a rare depth and variation in multiple expert elicitation on the same problem, which allows the authors to carefully identify expert-level drivers of variations in assessments of outcomes and associated uncertainties. An important parameter—change in the future costs of nuclear fission technologies upon doubling of public RD&D—is also calculated. Overall, this study makes a significant contribution to both the decision-making under uncertainty literature focusing on technological change as well as the expert elicitation methodology literature.
Expert elicitation methods for studying technological change under uncertainty
Varun Rai (author)
2013
Article (Journal)
Electronic Resource
Unknown
Metadata by DOAJ is licensed under CC BY-SA 1.0
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