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Analysis of Probability of Failure of Dams
This chapter summarizes five common tools in dam reliability and risk analysis: failure modes and effects analysis (FMEA), event trees, fault trees, first‐order reliability method (FORM)/first‐order second‐moment method (FOSM), and Monte Carlo Simulation. FMEA can provide a systematic procedure for analyzing failure modes of dam systems by isolating each component and describing the effects of individual component failure modes on the system as a whole. A post‐accident analysis identifies consequences of an accident sequence. This is the most common application of ETA for dam safety. When FTA is conducted for a large system, such as a dam system, it is important to clearly define the bounds. Usually, multiple subsystems exist in a large system; FTA is used to model a number of functionally linked subsystems. The chapter also presents the technique of Bayesian networks, which is used to develop a probability‐based tool for conducting probabilistic analysis of dam failure.
Analysis of Probability of Failure of Dams
This chapter summarizes five common tools in dam reliability and risk analysis: failure modes and effects analysis (FMEA), event trees, fault trees, first‐order reliability method (FORM)/first‐order second‐moment method (FOSM), and Monte Carlo Simulation. FMEA can provide a systematic procedure for analyzing failure modes of dam systems by isolating each component and describing the effects of individual component failure modes on the system as a whole. A post‐accident analysis identifies consequences of an accident sequence. This is the most common application of ETA for dam safety. When FTA is conducted for a large system, such as a dam system, it is important to clearly define the bounds. Usually, multiple subsystems exist in a large system; FTA is used to model a number of functionally linked subsystems. The chapter also presents the technique of Bayesian networks, which is used to develop a probability‐based tool for conducting probabilistic analysis of dam failure.
Analysis of Probability of Failure of Dams
Zhang, Limin (author) / Peng, Ming (author) / Chang, Dongsheng (author) / Xu, Yao (author)
2016-06-03
31 pages
Article/Chapter (Book)
Electronic Resource
English
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